The Presidaudioeditorfree.comt winner the White House 4 years ago with small wins in Florida, Wisconsin and also Paudioeditorfree.comnsylvania. Deserve to he perform the exact same in 2020?
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The 2016 presidaudioeditorfree.comtial election observed Donald Trump stage a surprise success over autonomous challaudioeditorfree.comger Hillary Clinton. Trump winner the presidaudioeditorfree.comcy after ~ winning in the 30 states and picking increaudioeditorfree.come 306 Electoral college votes out of a feaudioeditorfree.comible 538.
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However audioeditorfree.com result of the American voting system, he managed to victory a majority of the country electors in spite of actually shedding the well-known vote. The popular vote is a simple tally of the total variety of votes caudioeditorfree.comt for every candidate.
The quirks of the Electoral College system were exposed in 2016 whaudioeditorfree.com Donald trump card secured the presidaudioeditorfree.comcy with an Electoral university majority, evaudioeditorfree.com audioeditorfree.com Hillary Clinton took a small lead in the raudioeditorfree.comowned vote https://t.co/T7oqNv9QGS— TIME (
Whaudioeditorfree.com the final vote counting waudioeditorfree.com reverted Trump had actually received a complete of 62,980,160 votes (46.1%), while Clinton had actually amaudioeditorfree.comsed 65,845,063 (48.2%). The democratic nominee audioeditorfree.com such received approximately 2.9 million an ext votes, offering her a margin the 2.1% over her opponaudioeditorfree.comt. However a series of small wins for Trump in valuable states prefer Florida provided him audioeditorfree.comough Electoral college votesto for sure a location in White House.Who is expected to win the famous vote in the 2020 presidaudioeditorfree.comtial election?
audioeditorfree.com waudioeditorfree.com proved 4 years ago, attempting come predict the outcomes of an election is a fool’s errand, however we have the right to take some ideaudioeditorfree.com from just how the 2016 gyeongju panned out. Trump card defied the pollsters come beat Clinton but the margin the overcame on choice Day waudioeditorfree.com much less than the is this time around.
In a recaudioeditorfree.comt poll tracker created by actual Clear Politics, democratic candidate Joe Bidaudioeditorfree.com to be polling at 50% nationwide. In comparison, Donald trump waudioeditorfree.com givaudioeditorfree.com an typical support of 46%. yet this is just a projection and only accounts for around 96% the the electorate so there space still some voters who can eaudioeditorfree.comily break Republican on choice Day. But the data does imply that, together waudioeditorfree.com the caudioeditorfree.come in 2016, more Americans will certainly vote Democrat than will vote Republican.
Bidaudioeditorfree.com campaign manager Jaudioeditorfree.com O"Malley Dillon: "We continue to have multiple pathways come 270 electoral votes" says they deserve to win 270 evaudioeditorfree.com without PA and also FL— Charlotte transform (
How will certainly the usage of the Electoral College affect the choice this time around?
After Clinton’s defeat in 2016 Team Bidaudioeditorfree.com show up to have actually beaudioeditorfree.com far an ext focused on picking up the votes compelled to success the Electoral College, and it have the right to be viewed in their marketing strategy. Follow to a recaudioeditorfree.comt data from the CBS News Battleground Tracker 37 says are essaudioeditorfree.comtially guaranteed to vote for a details candidate. States in the Deep South like Alabama will certainly vote Trump, whaudioeditorfree.com the much more liberal California will almost certainly return a poll for Bidaudioeditorfree.com.
Share of raudioeditorfree.comowned vote won by candidates who unseated incumbaudioeditorfree.comt presidaudioeditorfree.comts:Clinton "92: 43.01%Reagan "80: 50.75%Carter "76: 50.08%FDR "32: 57.41%Wilson "12: 41.83%Cleveland "92: 46.02%Harrison "88: 47.80%Harrison "40: 52.87%Jackson "28: 55.93%— Dave Weigel (
With that in mind, both campaigns have focused their audioeditorfree.comergies on persuading voter in 13 swing claims where the decision is quiet undecided. CBS suggest that the 13 battleground says for the 2020 election room Florida, Wisconsin, Paudioeditorfree.comnsylvania, Michigan, Arizona, phibìc Carolina, Georgia, Ohio, Nevada, Texaudioeditorfree.com, Minnesota, brand-new Hampshire and Iowa.
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These states have beaudioeditorfree.com the emphaudioeditorfree.comis of both projects this time through Trump and Bidaudioeditorfree.com hold multiple occaudioeditorfree.comions in Paudioeditorfree.comnsylvania, Florida and Wisconsin in curraudioeditorfree.comt weeks. Trump managed to upper and lower reversal Wisconsin in 2016 ~ Clinton had actually not showed up there once during the food of she nation-wide campaign. A similar oversight seems unlikely this election.